Football Betting Tips Tomorrow
Real Madrid vs Barcelona (02 March 2023)
The Copa del Rey semi-finals kick off this week, and there is a huge showdown between the two biggest teams in Spain. Barcelona will ravel to the Santiago Bernabeu for the opening leg of the clash in the last four, as Real Madrid look to maintain their fight on three fronts this term. But, what are some of the best football betting tips tomorrow for this El Clasico clash?
Tip 1: Vinicius Jr To Score
With Robert Lewandowski set to miss the next couple of weeks after picking up an injury against Almeria, there could be potential value in the goalscoring market for El Clasico. Vinicius Jr has been in excellent form throughout this season, having scored 13 across 29 games in all competitions.
The Brazilian has been the key player in the attacking third for Los Blancos throughout this season, evident once again by his big match brace against Liverpool in the Champions League last week. The 22-year-old has already scored twice against Barcelona in his career, and he offers excellent value this week.
His chances of scoring against Barcelona are certainly aided by the club’s issue in the right-back position. Jules Kounde starting at full-back against Manchester United, and was at fault for the first goal. In Barcelona’s recent 1-0 defeat against Almeria, Sergi Roberto played in the position, but his quality is below the standard required for a club such as Barcelona.
Bet365 offers 2/1 for the Brazilian to score anytime, while SkyBet has the same selection at 3/1. However, Paddy Power offers 21/10 for Vinicius Jr to score anytime. An interesting alternative with the latter could be for the Brazilian to score or assist at 11/10.
To calculate the average chance of winning a bet in favour of Vinicius Jr to score, we can convert the odds to probabilities:
For Bet365, the probability of Vinicius Jr scoring is 1/(2+1) = 1/3 or approximately 0.33.
For SkyBet, the probability of Vinicius Jr scoring is 1/(3+1) = 1/4 or approximately 0.25.
For Paddy Power, the probability of Vinicius Jr scoring is 10/(10+21) = 10/31 or approximately 0.32.
To find the average chance of winning a bet, we can take the average of the three probabilities:
(0.33 + 0.25 + 0.32)/3 = 0.30 or approximately 30%.
Therefore, the average chance of winning a bet in favour of Vinicius Jr scoring is approximately 30%.
Tip 2: Real Madrid To Win & BTTS
This is just the first meeting between the two giants in March, with the second leg taking place at the Nou Camp in a few weeks.
Home advantage will be crucial for Real in the first leg, and they have impressed in recent home matches against Barcelona, winning three of the previous four. That includes a 3-1 win in the previous meeting between the sides this season.
We expect Real to take hold of the tie, given the injuries to key Barcelona players, but the semi-final may not be completely over after the opening leg, as we expect the visitors to also find the net.
Both teams have scored in each of the previous two head-to-head meetings, while a Real win with both teams scoring would have been a winning selection in five of the previous seven meetings across all competitions.
However, Barcelona’s chances of scoring against Real are certainly impacted by the sheer number of attacking players that will be missing for the trip. As mentioned previously, Robert Lewandowski will be sidelined few a few weeks with a hamstring injury, while Ansu Fati, and Ousmane Dembele will also be missing for this showdown.
Talented midfielder Pedri will also be absent, but the trio of Sergio Busquets, Franck Kessie, and Frenkie de Jong ensure that Barcelona is well stocked in that area of the field.
Real Madrid to win and both teams to score is currently available at 11/4 with Bet365, while SkyBet and Paddy Power also offers the same price for the selection.
If you bet $50 on Real Madrid to win and both teams to score at odds of 11/4 with Bet365, SkyBet, or Paddy Power, the potential pay-out can be calculated as follows:
Potential pay-out = (50 x 11/4) + 50 = $162.50
Therefore, if you bet $50 on Real Madrid to win and both teams to score at odds of 11/4 with any of the mentioned bookmakers, the potential payout would be $162.50.
Football Betting Tips Tomorrow
- Vinicius Jr To Score (Best Price 21/10 Paddy Power)
- Real Madrid to win & BTTS (11/4 SkyBet, Bet365, Paddy Power)
